Tomorrow, November 5, Pennsylvanians will go to the polls to determine important races for President, U.S. Senate, Congress, state Senate and state House. This email provides a preview of key Pennsylvania races at the state and federal levels and what to watch for heading into Election Day.
Note: The PA Chamber will be sending updates on these races via email as results are finalized.
Key Pennsylvania Races
President
Donald Trump (R) v. Kamala Harris (D)
Registration: R-40.5%; D 43.6%; I-12.1%
2020 Presidential: Biden +1.17%
RCP Average: Trump +0.6%
Candidate websites: https://www.donaldjtrump.com/
https://kamalaharris.com/
U.S. Senate
Dave McCormick (R) v. Bob Casey* (D)
Registration: R-40.5%; D 43.6%; I-12.1%
2020 Presidential: Biden +1.17%
Cook Rating: Toss-Up
RCP Average: Casey +1.6%
Candidate websites: https://www.davemccormickpa.com/
https://bobcasey.com/
Congress
CD-1 (Bucks, Montgomery) – Brian Fitzpatrick (R)* v. Ashley Ehasz (D)
Registration: R-42%; D-41%; O-17%
2020 Presidential: Biden +4.6%
PVI Score: Even
Cook Rating: Likely GOP
Candidate websites: https://www.brianfitzpatrick.com/
https://www.ehaszforcongress.com/
7 (Lehigh, Northampton, Carbon) – Ryan Mackenzie (R) v. Susan Wild (D)*
Registration: R-39%; D-42%; O-19%
2020 Presidential: Biden +<1%
PVI Score: R+2
Cook Rating: Toss-Up
Candidate websites: https://www.mackenzieforcongress.com/
https://wildforcongress.com/
8 (Luzerne, Lackawanna, Monroe, Wayne, Pike) – Rob Bresnahan (R) v. Matt Cartwright* (D)
Registration: R-40%; D-44%; O-16%
2020 Presidential: Trump +2.8%
PVI Score: R+4
Cook Rating: Toss-Up
Candidate Websites: https://robforpa.com/
https://cartwrightcongress.com/
10 (Dauphin Cumberland, York) –-Scott Perry* (R) v. Janelle Stelson (D)
Registration: R-44%; D-37%; O-19%
2020 Presidential: Biden +19.9%
PVI Score: R+5
Cook Rating: Toss Up
Candidate Websites: https://patriotsforperry.com/
https://janellestelson.com/
17 (Allegheny, Beaver) – Rob Mercuri (R) v. Christopher Deluzio* (D)
Registration: R-37%; D-48% O-15%
2020 Presidential: Biden +5.8%
PVI Score: Even
Cook Rating: Lean Dem
Candidate websites: https://www.robmercuri.com/
https://www.chrisforpa.com/
State Senate
(Current makeup: 28-R, 22-D)
5 (Philadelphia) – Joe Picozzi (R) v. Sean Dillon*(D)
Registration: R-30%; D-54%; O-16%
2020 Presidential: Trump 49.6%
15 (Dauphin) – Nick DiFrancesco (R) v. Patty Kim (D)
Registration: R-36%; D-46% ; O-18%
2020 Presidential: Biden 57%
37 (Allegheny) – Devlin Robinson* (R) v. Nicole Ruscitto (D)
Registration: R-42%; D-43%; O-15%
2020 Presidential: Trump 50%
45 (Allegheny) – Jen Dintini (R) v. Nick Pisciottano (D)
Registration: R-31%; D-55%; O-14%
2020 Presidential: Biden 53.1%
49 (Erie) – Dan Laughlin* (R) v. Jim Wertz (D)
Registration: R-40%; D-45%; /O-15%
2020 Presidential: Biden 50.5%
State House
(Current makeup: 101-R, 102-D)
16 (Beaver) – Michael Perich (R) v. Robert Matzie* (D)
Registration: R-36%; D-49%; O-15%
2020 Presidential: Trump 51.1%
44 (Allegheny) – Valerie Gaydos* (R) v. Hadley Haas (D)
Registration: R-42%; D-41%; O-17%
2020 Presidential: Trump 51%
72 (Cambria) – Amy Bradley (R) v. Frank Burns* (D)
Registration: R-48%; D-40%; O-12%
2020 Presidential: Trump 64%
118 (Lackawanna/Luzerne) – McKayla Kathio (R) v. Jim Haddock* (D)
Registration: R-39%; D-50%; O-11%
2020 Presidential: Trump 51%
137 (Northampton) – Joe Emrick* (R) v. Anna Thomas (D)
Registration: R-39%; D-41%; O-20%
2020 Presidential: Trump 51%
142 (Bucks) – Joe Hogan* (R) v. Anna Payne (D)
Registration: R-43%; D-41%; O-16%
2020 Presidential: Biden 50.4%
144 (Bucks) – Dan McPhillips (R) v. Brian Munroe* (D)
Registration: R-44%; /D-40%; O-16%
2020 Presidential: Biden 51%
160 (Delaware/Chester) – Craig Williams (R)* v. Elizabeth Moro (D)
Registration: R-47%; D-36%; O-17%
2020 Presidential: Biden 53%
187 (Lehigh) – Gary Day (R) v. Stephanie Rafes (D)
Registration: R-47%; /D-35%; O-18%
2020 Presidential: Trump 53%